Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Vote Early and Often

++PPP/Daily Kos has national poll--President Obama at 50 and Romney at 45.

++PPP Nevada President Obama 52 to Romney 43.

++Monmouth College/Asbury Park Press: President Obama 52 to Romney 37.

++At this stage on the 2008 election Obama was advertising in 21 states while McCain was in 16. Today,all ads are now only in 9 states for each candidate--Iowa,Colorado, Florida, North Carolina,Nevada, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. One Superpac has bought $1 million in ads in Michigan. That's it. Outside groups and Romney have purchased 18.8 million to President Obama's 14.5 million. But the Romney ad advantage dissipates when you realize his campaign doesn't have control over the Superpac money and therefore can't control the message.

++The bad news is that 10 million Hispanic voters may be ineligible to vote because of Voter ID laws. That is an extraordinary number when you realize that 25 million Hispanics are eligible to vote.

++Voting starts today all over the country. In Iowa you can actually vote in person. What this means is that time if running out for the challenger. Basically, Romney is now down to one debate to have a seismic impact because early voting will have cut into his time to pull an October Surprise or knock out Obama in the debates. 

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