++Nate Silver writes today that the polling take is wacky. Can you believe Rasmussen giving Romney a 4 pt. lead in New Hampshire while Obama wins Wisconsin by 17?
++Sam Wang, who must smoke great stuff, has the probably of the Democrats taking over the House--not retaining the Senate mind you--at 74%.
++In likely voters,Reuters/Ipsos' tracking poll has Obama at 48 and Romney at 43.
++PPP Wisconsin has Obama at 52 and Romney at 45.
++YouGov, a Republican leaning pollster, has the national election at 46 to 46. BUT...
++Let's look at the state races:
Colorado: Obama 50 Romney 45
New Hampshire: Obama 48 to Romney 42
Florida: Obama 49 to Romney 47
Iowa: Obama 48 to Romney 43
Nevada: Obama 51 to Romney 44
Virginia: Obama 48 to Romney 44
Wisconsin: Obama 48 to Romney 47
Michigan: Obama 51 to Romney 42
Ohio: Obama 47 to Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52 to Romney 43.
North Carolina: Romney 48 to Obama 46.
So Obama takes 10 out of 11 states and the election is tied. OK.
UConn/Hartford Courant on Connecticut: Obama 53 and Romney 32.
Detroit News/WDIN On Michigan :Obama 52 to Romney 37.8
Maybe we are entering a zone prior to the elections that the polls are ceasing to be meaningful.
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