++An ABC-Washington Post poll taken before the conventions has Obama ahead 49-48 in Likely Voters but 50-44 with Registered Voters. But scroll down to paragraph 5 in the Post and there sits the bombshell. In Battleground states Obama has a 54-40 lead among registered voters. It was 42-48 in the last survey. That is a seismic shift.
++The Pew Poll has Obama with a 51-41 lead. The reason is that Romney's unfavorables jumped to 52% and his favorables were only 37%.
++The New York Times released a series of polls today with Obama up 4 in Virginia, up 6 in Wisconsin and down 5 in Colorado. The last poll had a sample of 39% over the age of 60.
++Romney is trying to get back some mojo by advertising in Ohio that Obama is off-shoring jobs to China.
++A Virginia paper had an interesting piece that the lower middle class whites in the South are not cottoning to Romney because of his wealth and class. Random whites said they were voting for Obama because he did not come from the rich. Anecdotally,two guys I hired to paint said yesterday that they usually vote for Republicans but this time they had to go with Obama and Biden because those two came from where they started. Contrary to the faux outrage about Biden allowing a biker chick to sit on his lap, these guys thought it was a gas and said "Joe is one of us."
++Nate Silver says that the Obama bounce has now been totally integrated into his model and that he expected
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