Does Early Voting Tell Us Anything About Turnout

++Early voting in Iowa and North Carolina show the Democrats taking the early leads as is custom. But the turnout in the country overall should be down because it is a mid-term, but that doesn't mean it will be in highly contested states.

++For instance,the Mark Halperin interview I referred to in the post on Alaska highlighted the high turn out expected by minorities in Georgia, especially in southern Georgia and Atlanta with its suburbs. The African-American vote has grown sizably since 2010. While we saw Michelle Obama campaigning there as well as Bill Clinton, radio broadcasts to the minority community are being done by President Obama. The issue of whether the 50,000 newly registered voters will be allowed to vote is still up in the air. In Louisiana , democratic operatives are buoyant about the turnout in the areas south of New Orleans as well as the southern part of the state. Whether this turns out , we'll see.

++Colorado's all-mail ballots produce voting rates in the 70+% and may rival a presidential turnout because of the ease of voting.

++In states like North Carolina, where Voter ID laws are being enforced,the Moral Monday campaign has energized the younger and minority voters in a way usually meant for presidential elections.

++If the turnout is more than 2010 and slightly less than 2012,then the GOTV campaigns have been a success.

++Maybe it's just Friday night but Sam Wang has his Meta-Margin at R.1%. which means this one could be close.