++Sam Wang explains why a meta-margin of only R.4% leads him to conclude the Senate control is not decided. Mid-term polls are five times more likely to be wrong. Read the short article at Princeton Election Consortium. He starts with Democrats at 45 assured seats and adds the probables to get to 49. The GOP must lose one of Alaska,Iowa,Colorado,Kentucky or Georgia to have a tied Senate.
++Pew has the generic poll at 47D to 46 GOP. Pew had the most accurate generic polling in 2010 and 2012. The GOP in 2010 was in double digits.
++From the right comes articles that only 20% of likely voters approve President Obama. I have no idea whether this is true or not but the late ad buys are attacking Democrats for voting with Obama and Obamacare. Those who think Obamacare isn't a target are delusional. The Cookie-Cuter ads against most embattled Democratic Senators all have the targeted person "as the deciding vote for Obamacare" and "for closing the government"--i.e. that is not accepting Senator Cruz' bit to defund Obamacare.The Democrats have been lame in not going after GOP obstructionism and the closing of the government,which produced the only polls that had them taking the House.
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