++Polls from Alaska,Iowa,Arkansas this evening show Democrats behind. Even Roberts in Kansas has showed a lead after several polls showing Orman winning.
++I have no idea if this factored into Sam Wang's change. Right now he has the GOP at 51 seats but Democrats still at a 52% probability of holding the Senate. The meta-margin has flipped to R +0.6%
++One sign of trouble is the early voting in Iowa which shows Democratic turnout is 20% less than their normal lead with early voting.
++Mary Landrieu has shaken up her campaign staff for the remaining campaign. But conservatives are saving a bucket-load of cash for the run-off.
++Senator Begich--God bless him--is doubling down on defending Obamacare and his position to extend Social Security. But the latest poll shows he is behind.
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