++Sam Wang still has Democrats at 55% chance of retaining the Senate. In the wake of the last two days of polls, Wang says we have to stand back and analyze what is or is not happening.
++You can read his essay "No Wave" at Princeton Educations Consortium. Basically, he says there is no strong movement toward the Republicans. So far this is not a wave election, more like a ripple election.
++He analyzes the effects of Obama's approval ratings on the race. He notes that Obama has gained three points since the summer,which slightly affects things.
++In 2010, the GOP picked up 63 seats in the House. Wang says that a party gains 3 House seats for every 1% on the generic congressional poll, something I never read before. So far, either the GOP gains nothing or maxes out at 12 seats.
++He says the Senate will come down to 4 or 5 close races. He says that there are now questions on Georgia and Kentucky, which show the Republicans have lost ground.
++In Kansas,both the governor's race and the Senate race are tightening. The main reason for this is that Orman seems to be losing popularity among independents.
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