++Do yourself a favor and read Nate Silver's piece at FiveThirtyEight.com. Nate still has the GOP winning the Senate with roughly a 63% chance but his in-depth reporting of the poll shows things to watch.
++Nate argues that the polling in this mid-term has been oddly consistent and that by this time in any election one party would seem to be pulling ahead. But this time,that is not occurring.
++He still sees the Democrats holding a few aces going down to the election wire. He sees both Louisiana and Georgia going into run-offs. While he sees the poll showing Begich with a lead as an outlier, he admits that polling in Alaska is notoriously sparse and sporadic. He thinks the GOP taking the Senate rests on them winning two of Georgia, New Hampshire, Kansas and North Carolina. And the election is now tight in all these states.
++Louisiana is reporting that early voting is equalling 2008 percentages not 2010. The number of early voting is roughly 30% African-American while in 2010 it was 20%.
++In Colorado,Udall who once had a six-point lead and drifted behind now is in the lead again. But it's a one-point race.
++Kay Hagan has a consistent 3-4% lead over Tillis for months and now today's polls show it is tied.
++In Iowa,the GOP candidate still has a slim one to two point lead.
++The latest polls from South Dakota seem to indicate that my fantasies of a three-way slugfest are fading and the scandal-ridden former Governor Mike Rounds seems heading to the victory every one predicted in the beginning.
++Gorman has slipped from a ten point lead to just 1 pat over Roberts, who has been saved by massive cash from the RNC.
++So it is so close right now, almost a toss-up,make sure you vote.
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