Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Before the Debate

++The Reuters/Ipsos poll had Obama leading in early voting 59 to 39.

++OHIO (YouGov) President Obama 50 to 46. The Columbus Business Week says to expect Obama in Cleveland to climb after the debate. The PPP poll, which showed a 50 to 45,according to the author showed that unlike in other Swing States Romney is not well liked there.

++Nevada (YouGov) Obama 50 to Romney 45.

++Iowa (You Gov) Obama 50 to Romney 45.

++North Carolina (YouGov) Romney 49 Obama 48.

++Colorado (YouGov) Obama 50 to Romney 45.

++Florida (YouGov) Obama 49 to Romney 47.

++Virginia (YouGov) Obama 46 to Romney 45.

++Iowa (We Ask America) Obama 49 to Romney 46.

++If you are reading Andrew Sullivan today, Romney is inevitably the next President. Both tracking polls underestimated 2008 Obama returns. Without Ohio,Romney still has a very tough path. That is why the Supreme Court decision not to stop Ohio early voting will become important as we get near election day.

Now on to the debate if I can keep awake.

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