++Now Sam Wang is trying to make it easier for you to understand. Now he prints the probability with the Random Drift Model--88%--and the Bayesian Prediction--96%. He claims these will eventually merge as we come nearer Election Day. And the winner is not Bishop Willard.
++Iowa Electronic Markets out of the University of Iowa has it 66% chance Obama will win popular vote. Betters are saying that will be 53.9%, which seems larger than I believe. I would put it at 51.5%. But Iowa has called it pretty much on the money the last several elections.
++There is nothing we can do now about electronic voting machines and more sophisticated ways of stealing elections. Nor can we do anything about the hurricane and whether it will have any impact on the election turnout.
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