Friday, October 26, 2012

Sam Wang Is Tired of You

Sam Wang wrote this morning that dealing with the issue of Mittmentum is like shooting  fish in a barrel. No there isn't such a thing even if Joe Scarborough says so. For Wang,Obama is at 90% probability and probably will go higher as we inch to the finish line. Today, it is 299EVs Obama to 237Evs Romney with a meta-margin of 1.72. 

Nate Silver has to tolerate you because of working for the New York Times. Nate has it 294.1 to 243.9 for Obama,73% probability of win, and 50.2% popular.

Intratrade got rid of the Romney investor and is at 62.9%.

Rand Tracking is at 50.56 to 44.64 Obama. 

Romney had to cancel yesterday two events out of Ohio because his campaign has found there are in a deeper hole than previously thought. So fresh with Meatloaf's endorsement, Romney said that Chrysler was going to ship its Jeep operations that affect Ohio to China. Chrysler shot back that they had no such intentions.

Politico talked with the Obama campaign who said they had double-digit leads among women in the Swing states like Ohio and that this held to all swing states and they remained confident.

Romney and Ryan will be spending some of this weekend raising funds. Their Boston headquarters told investors to pony up because they are behind 2-3 points in swing states and need the loot for their final ad blitz. Over 30% of the election ads will be aired in the next ten days. Pity all those in a swing state. I have already received ten calls a night for the last three days from polling firms and political campaigns.

Scott Rasmussen talked today about Obama winning the electoral college and losing the popular vote to Romney. 

Nice Obama "Forward" theme song by will.i.am--catch it.

Hillary Clinton will stay on as Secretary of State a little while after the election and into the second term.

Consumer sentiment is at its highest in five years. Gallup reports more people think they are better off than 5 years ago. The GDP unexpectedly rose 2.2%, higher than expectations. All we fear before the election is the next jobs report next Friday. 

Remember--by next Thursday night you should know who will be the next President of the United States. Vote and Vote early.


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