++NBC/WSJ reports that 18% of Ohio has voted early. Obama has 63%. What this says is that the enthusiasm gap isn't there. The African-American community has come out in force around Cleveland and areas that the Secretary of State tried to prohibit a month ago. This doesn't tell you the result but how well the Obama campaign is doing.
++Gallup tracking--Obama 50 to 45 Romney in registered voters. Obama 48 to Romney 48 likely voter. This poll indicates an enthusiasm gap. Such a wide discrepancy between registered and likely is trouble for the Obama campaign.
++Rasmussen--Obama 48, Romney 47 with 2% for others and only 3% undecided. I find his margin of error rate a little high.
++Reuters/Ipsos Romney 47 to Obama 44.
++Rasmussen Ohio : Obama 48 to Romney 47. I thought Scott Rasmussen appearing on his website to explain Romney's chances and how close certain Swing States were , frankly strange.
++Wisconsin: Obama 50 to 46 Romney. Obama has a 53% approval rating.
++Wisconsin: The Quinnipiac poll I missed this morning. President Obama 51 to Romney 47.
++Nate the Great Silver is supposed to update his blog by mid-afternoon. Last night Obama fell below 300 EV for the first time and the odds of his winning went down into the mid-60s. Silver is wrestling with the strange issue of reconciling the national polls that show Romney is leading to the state polls which show he is closing the gap but still trailing.
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