++The Tonight Show in LA, late night rally in Las Vegas, early morning rally in Tampa, afternoon rally in Richmond,stop-off to Chicago to vote, and late night rally in Cleveland. For those who wondered how many were in Richmond, it was 15,000, although reported by the Richmond Dispatch as several hundred.
++Willard spent the day in Ohio ending in Defiance. While there he admitted he was "a little behind" Obama.
++Democrats are anxious about this election for good reason. Obama's fate is tied to Republican governors and secretary of states who must honor the election law but have a habit of breaking them. The media for the last two days have willfully forgotten the last debate and are now trumpeted Romney. The Washington Post endorsed Obama today but spent the afternoon with its ABC/POST poll emphasizing that Romney is at 50% of likely voters because of the wide gap among white voters. CNN also has jumped on the wagon saying that Obama must win at least 40% of whites or he will be a single-term president. This has set up a frantic effort by the Romney campaign to raise more money. They are dispatching Paul Ryan to Alabama to pick up some more loot and Sheldon Adelson has dumped a load on the Allen campaign for a Get out the Vote effort.
++Before we all go crazy, let's look at the Big Picture.
**Drew Linzer of Votamatic and Emory University has run his computers and predicts President Obama with 332 EV and Romney 206EVs.
**Sam Wang at Princeton Consortium has President Obama at 291 EV and Romney at 247EV with a meta-margin of 1.50. Sam says there is a 25% chance that the popular vote will differ from electoral.
**Nate Silver has it 290.8 EV and Romney 247.2, with Obama 71% chance of winning and with 50.2% of the popular vote.
**DeSart and Holbrooke predict Obama 281 EV and Romney 257 with Obama having a 87% chance of winning. Obama 51.51% of the popular vote and Romney with 48.49%. They project Romney will win Virginia, Florida, Colorado and North Carolina.
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