Thought Experiment after the Debate

++Does an incumbent President win re-election if:
The Dow Jones and Standard and Poor's are the highest in five years.
The incumbent's approval rating is between 52 and 54%.
The unemployment rate is slightly lower than when that person came into office.
The incumbent ended one war and is wrapping up another.
The incumbent saved the auto industry from collapse.
The incumbent eliminated the country's number 1 enemy?
The incumbent passed a wide-ranging health reform bill, which had defied Presidents for 100 years.

From simply a political science point of view,how could this person not win re-election?