Weird Election Factoids

++If Romney wins, he would become the very first Republican ever to win the presidency without winning his home state. And we will handicap it by giving Romney both Massachusetts and Michigan.

++Over half Asian-Americans are not registered to vote.

++The 7-11 poll picked the winner of the last three Presidential elections. So far it is Obama 60 to Romney 40.

++Sam Wang set his computers whirring at Princeton to project the House elections. This was preceded by a long technical article about his revised methodology, which will be a textbook article in the future. And the results--D.217.5 R. 217.5. He originally called it 218R. 217D because he hates to leave decimals for his calls on the Senate or House. But the computer keep churning out identical numbers so he just printed the straight results.

++Prior to the debate, Simon Jackman of the Political Science Department at Stanford University reports his poll findings. President Obama is running 1% below 2008 at just over 52%. Before the debate, Obama had lost Indiana and North Carolina. In Ohio, Obama is actually polling better than he did in 2008.

++James Zogby is arguing that the 2008 electorate is not the same as 2012. Instead he argues that the minority portion has grown to over 29% and that President Obama is polling 80%of these. That would mean that the Romney formula of driving Obama below 37% of the White Vote would fail.

++Utah Valley University ,led by Jay de Sart and Thomas Holbrook, have printed their projections. They have President Obama winning 332-206. And the popular vote would be 53.13% and Romney winning 46.87%. 

++University of Denver has the first fully post-debate poll of Colorado. There have been two strange polls by Gravis and The Conservative Union, which show Romney in the lead--not an impossibility but not with large votes from African Americans and Hispanics. The Colorado poll is Obama at 47 and Romney 43, which would be a slight loss by Obama.

++Rumors have it the NBC/WSJ poll tomorrow will be negative for Obama. 

++Gallup tracking still shows Obama 49 to 46 for Romney. 

++Rasmussen still has Romney at 49 to Obama at 47.