Friday, October 19, 2012

The Obama bounce sort of

++We left Nate Silver with Obama inching up to 291 EVs, a 70.4% chance of winning and at 50.3%. States where Obama has a 90% chance of winning equal 237 votes and those where he is 70% plus equals 281.

++Rasmussen this morning is tied at 48 to 48.

++Strange thing about the Gallup polls is that Obama's approval rating is 50% while he's behind 7 to Willard. 

++Mellman Group on Nevada:51-43. Huge gender gap and Hispanic edge for Obama.

++Ohio--81% of new registrations came from women,people under 30, African-Americans and Latinos. 55% of early voters are female.

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