Sunday, October 28, 2012

Ending the Day

++Now I feel more comfortable. Sam Wang has Obama at 300EV and Romney at 238EV. The meta-margin went up to 2.14. The Flexible % at 90 and the Prediction at 97%. Obama's odds are now 10 to 1.

++The Obama campaign has leaked out its internals on Colorado, which I had been concerned about. They have a five point lead in the polling there.

++PPP has Obama now up by 2 in New Hampshire.

++The Ohio Obama campaign says that early voting continues very much in their favor, that Ohio is really moving their way. This, despite Romney's closing pitch that he really is the Auto Industry candidate and that he really will protect the Jeep jobs from not going to China--since they never were. It's a cool technique--generate the threat,pretend it never was false, then say you are the reason the jobs will be staying. Sort of like the intimidation of the corporate bosses saying they will sure you if you vote for Obama.

++Watch Florida --the Democrats are exceeding their 2008 totals. I had written Florida off this year because of Governor Scott and the nature of the state. Maybe not.

++Andrew Sullivan showed up on television to make the astute comment that it looks like Romney might win the Old Confederacy. I tend to think that way also. It is the Union against the Confederacy. After all the Mormons were for slavery and the South.

++The latest is a claim that Obama watched as the people in Benghazi died. Watch for this to assume conspiracy status soon after Hurricane Sandy disappears.

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