Winning without Ohio

++There is a lot of concern about Tagg Romney owning the electronic voting machines of Ohio,Colorado and Washington State and Oklahoma. Even Forbes magazine has printed an article raising questions about the conflict of interest. Of additional concern is that the same computer firm that tallied the vote in 2004 in Ohio is back on the scene again. The Good news is that Clear Channel, which sponsored the Voter Fraud billboards are taking them down in Ohio. And another Republican electoral commissioner resigned in Ohio because of "stress."

++Notice--The Obama campaign sent out a message today about how they are winning Ohio by every measure--early voting, polls, and registration. This was meant to be reassuring and it was.

++But the funky stuff of elections is surfacing everywhere--Virginia, Florida,Ohio,Wisconsin. The GOP and related groups are outspending Obama by 2 to 1 in the homestretch. 

++So Obama needs a second strike capability as they say in nuclear war. Larry Sabato says that without Ohio,Obama needs Colorado, New Hampshire and Nevada. This assumes Obama loses Virginia, which is not all that clear. Throw Virginia in there are Obama still has some wiggle room.

++The 7-11 poll has Obama at 59 to Romney 41. In Ohio, Obama is actually up from before to 58 to 42. Virginia is 58 to 42 and Florida is 56 to 44.

++Undecided Voters: NPR did a story about undecided voters, 60% of whom are women. They are now breaking 75% for Obama versus 25% Romney. In Swing States --Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado--there are about 900,000 undecided voters. According to Paul Begala, a Democratic operative,the people who will decide this election are less than those who went to see the Astros play al season in Houston.

++IDB poll keeps trending Obama at 47.9% versus Romney at 42.2.

++With most pollsters writing off Florida for Obama,the last few days have seen 5 polls with Obama leading anywhere from 1-6 points in the Sunshine State.