--Nate Silver "the slim,castrati-sounding,short geek" says that Ohio--no way,no how--is a toss up state. Because of the polling history this cycle, with Obama averaging a 2.5 lead, it would be unprecedented for such a state to go to his challenger. By the end of this election, Nate will be subject to vicious attacks on Right wing radio. Today, the National Review tried to compare him to Dick Morris, who is banking on a Romney landslide.
++Odds of Obama winning the electoral college but losing the popular vote--Nate says 5%.
++7-11--the most definitive poll says it is Obama 59 to 41.
++Des Moines Register endorsed Romney, the first Republican since 1972--an apt parallel of candidates.
++Votamatic has an even larger Obama lead. Check out the website and the polling leads for Obama in Florida and North Carolina. They assume the election will be clean.
++The Washington Post has Obama still ahead in Virginia by a four point margin--which naturally they say is a slim lead.
++Karl Rove claims there are about 10 ways Romney can win without Ohio. He didn't spell them out but it is clear that the Romney strategy is to concentrate on Wisconsin and pray they win every other swing state.
++For all you disgruntled liberals, who are grouchy about Obama for this or that, yes, Virginia, there will be a public option--in fact two--for healthcare if he is re-elected. The New York Times reported today.
++Sam Wang is hunkered down at Princeton getting ready for Hurricane Sandy. But he still thinks you are crazy.
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