Thursday, October 25, 2012

Obama's Magical Mystery Tour

++The blog ate my post so I will not try again.

++The Big Picture as of tonight:
**Rand: Obama 50% to 45% Romney.
**Nate Silver: Obama 290.8 to Romney 247.2. 71% chance of winning for Obama. 50.2% of the popular vote.
**Sam Wang: Obama 291 to Romney 247 with a meta-margin of 1.50. Only 25% chance that popular vote will differ from electoral.
**DeSart-Holbrooke: Obama 281 to Romney 257, Obama 51.51% and Romney 48.49% popular vote. 87% chance of winning.
**Drew Linzer of Votamatic : Obama 332 EV and Romney 206.

++State polls:
Colorado: PPP: Obama 51 to 47
                Grove: Obama 46 to 43
                Project New America: Obama 46 to 43
                NBC/Wall Street Journal/ Marist: 48 to 48

Virginia: PPP: Obama 51 to Romney 46
              Fox: Romney 47 to Obama 45
              Rasmussen: Romney 50 to Obama 48.

Florida: Grove: Obama 47 to Romney 45
             Project New America: Obama 47 to 45

Nevada: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Obama 50 to 47.

Wisconsin: Obama 51 to Romney 45.

North Carolina: PPP Obama 48-Romney 48.

My advice to President Obama win it with a backup to Ohio. An Ohio newspaper printed today that it could take upwards of two weeks after election day to count the absentee ballots. Too much time for mischief.



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