Monday, October 29, 2012

With A Week To Go

++Popular Vote appearing tied in national polls. The Washington Post tracking is now 49 to 49 with President Obama's approval rating above 50. PPP,IBD,Gallup and others are quitting their tracking poll and Rasmussen, who has a server in the Hurricane area, says he hasn't made up his mind.

++Sam Wang dinged Obama two EVs bringing him down to 303 and his odds down to 97% probability he'll be re-elected.

++TTwick has a social media poll, which has Obama at 47.90 and Romney at 46.00. 

++Rasmussen Ohio poll just got bumped by the Mellman poll showing Obama at 49-Romney at 44.

++New America has a Nevada poll which shows Obama at 49 and Romney at 43 with Democratic voters easily leading the early voting.

++Gravis weighs in with a 48 to 48 tie in Virginia. 

++The Obama campaign has responded to Romney's bizarre ad where he claims he has a plan to rebuild the auto industry. He is back to claiming that he will do everything President Obama has done but better.

++The question in a week is which country shows up the vote--a more diversified electorate or a more monolithic one like in 2010. Republicans are boasting that undecideds break for the challenger, despite the history of the last two presidential elections. Democrats claim 60% of the undecideds are women and they are breaking 75% for Obama. The other question is whether Romney can keep Obama below 40% among all white voters and for Obama can he keep Romney below 30% of the Hispanic vote.

++Meanwhile Drudge and Politico are trashing Nate Silver as the villain of the election. Nate had Obama a little down today but the President still is in command of both the electoral and popular vote in Nate's rankings.

No comments:

Post a Comment