++National memo says that Ohio is pretty much put away this election cycle, although more GOTV is fine.Obama banked the early voting taking about 60%. Political operatives say to watch for Romney's 269 strategy to emerge by the end of the week. He will not overtly abandon states but will focus on those to bring him to 269. Part of this strategy might be the very strange ad buy by Karl Rove for Maine's single divided EV.
++John Ralston was asked why Romney doesn't throw in the towel on Nevada. He says Romney's internal polling shows him 1 point ahead and Obama's internals show him 5-8 points ahead. So while there is a chance Romney is not going to abandon the state.
++Just to give you a sense of Ohio:
**SUSA Obama 47 to Romney 44
**Pharos Obama 50 to Romney 45
**Lake Obama 46 to Romney 44
**Time Obama 49 to Romney 44
**Rasmussen Obama 48 to Romney 48.
++Paul Ryan's "major policy speech" in Ohio entailed an Ayn Rand defense of helping the poor by abandoning all poverty programs and lamenting contraceptives for poor people. The whole day has been a return to the Republican war on women with screwball statements concerning rape from Pennsylvania through Indiana back to Missouri.
++TPM had President Obama at his highest point over Romney for the entire campaign. While the Romney people are touting his Mittmentum,Rand has returned to a 49 to 45 spread,UPI to a 49 to 47 race,IBD to 47.3 to 44.3, all Obama. Latin voters are now 74 to 26% Obama. Gallup has seen an improvement by Obama and he is now back ahead among registered voters. More important his approval rate is 53.
++Here in Virginia, Old Dominion has it Obama 50 to Romney 43. Newsmax/Zogby 49 Obama Romney 46. Expect Rasmussen tomorrow.
++Nevada. PPP has Obama at 51 to 47
++New Hampshire Battleground poll Obama 48 to Romney 45; Rasmussen 50 Obama and 48 Romney.
++Mark Halperin has a very decent piece in Time about visiting the Obama Chicago headquarters and finding them still confident about the President's victory saying the EV will be from 280 to early 300s. They explained that the trick of early voting is not to just get your supporters but to pick up the random or atypical voter. They argue that they are picking up people off the polling radar--the young, new African-Americans,Latinos and others. Just example, the early voting in North Carolina indicates that the African-American vote far surpasses 2008. The other element is that newly registered voters cast their ballot 93% of their time but are never considered "likely voters".
As to competing claims by the two campaigns, David Axelrod told Halperin, "We will soon see who is bluffing."
++President Obama held a 20 minute conference call with several thousand undecided voters in the swing states. He also gave a great interview with the Des Moines Register about his program for the second term and added that if he wins it will be because of the Latino vote.
++Romney drew a good crowd in Colorado and previously had a good crowd in Nevada. President Obama hit Iowa and was greeted with a massive crowd, Denver and also he and Joe Biden appeared in Ohio. After the speech in Davenport, Iowa, he appeared in the tent afterwards and spoke directly to a video calling for early voting.
++And Sam Wang is snoozing.
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