Friday, October 26, 2012

Sam Wang Wants Us To Get a Life

++With Hurricane Sandy coming up the East Coast or Obama's "Katrina" according to Fox News,Sam Wang remains bemused by our checking in all day long. It is still 297 and Romney 241 with a meta-margin of Obama at +1.96. I would feel more comfortable at Obama 303.

++Nate Silver is on Bill Maher tonight. I expect him soon to be the target of the Salvadoran death squads who funded Romney in the early days of Bain. Conservative magazines have begun a campaign to discredit "Poblano", his nom de guerre. I guess it is because he uses real numbers and runs thousands of simulations for his projections. Obama at 295.4 and Romney at 242.6, a 74.4% probability of Obama winning, 50.3% of the vote. Again get me to 303 and I will breath easier.

++Rand looks wonderful tonight at 51-44 Obama. 

++I have a raft of polls that came out today on swing states. All showed Obama having some sort of lead. Only Purple Strategies had a Virginia poll that was tied 47-47.

++President Obama has raised over $1billion for this campaign but it still is slightly under his challenger and its various SuperPacs. So Get Out The Vote and Vote Early.

++CNN released his Ohio poll tonight and Wolf Blitzer was a pains to explain the whole idea of the margin of error. It was Obama 50 to Romney 46. TPM had an article this afternoon that explained that person-to-person polls revealed a larger Obama lead in Ohio than robo-polls.

++Georgia is reporting that African-Americans are voting at greater levels than at any time in history. Even though Obama is not competitive there, it is a nice bit  of news.

++President Obama is giving interviews with a host of Swing State papers and appeared on MTV for a pitch to the young voters. His voice is getting hoarse. 

++John Sununu keeps on stepping in it. What you don't want if your are the Romney campaign is to remind everyone that Colin Powell endorsed your rival. His statement that Powell did this because Barack is black only kept the endorsement in the new cycle.

++Willard Romney has decided he will not take any more questions from the press. As Doug Brooks says, he is going "Large" and promising "Big Change". However, his economic speech in Iowa went flat because all it contained were attacks on Barack Obama. Romney was disappointed in the 2% growth in GDP, only the best in the industrialized world. His own record in Massachusetts showed he never got near 2% growth in any one year, let alone quarter.

++The Motley Fool decided to rank the Presidents for the last 100 years in terms of who was best for corporate profits. Number 1 was Barack Obama followed by Warren Harding. Way down the list were George W.Bush and Ronald Reagan.

++A Pew poll showed the Americans preferred President Obama handing every foreign affairs issue but one. Incredibly,Americans gave a slight edge to Romney on the issue of China. I guess it is because he outsourced so many jobs there that he knows the country.

++How will the hurricane affect the election. Who knows. David Axelrod said today that the election is now stabilized and the Obama campaign don't expect any major surprises. That was before the full-scale of the hurricane was announced.

++Martin Bashir got best television bit today by donning goggles to see through Paul Ryan's ad, which was incredible on the Romney-Ryan tax plan.

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