Sunday, October 28, 2012

Getting Close

++The rain has started here. The Jersey Shore is being evacuated. It looks like this one will be big.

++Meanwhile President Obama has been on the phone with Chris Christie and other Governors in the storm's aim to reassure them he will provide anything they need.

++Meanwhile it looks like the Swing States are being firmed up. John Ralston reports that Neil Newhouse, the pollster for the Romney campaign,is extremely skeptical they can compete in Nevada. More news out of Colorado has made people like Nate Silver to up the probability Obama will also take it. 

++The PPP poll in New Hampshire has Obama 49 to 47, which was an increase over their last poll. People now put New Hampshire in Obama's column.

++In Ohio, PPP has Obama at 51 to 47 now, another increase over their last poll. Gravis has Obama 50 to 49 over Romney there. Nice news is PPP showing Sherrod Brown leading with 53 to 42. 

++A Consenus is emerging that Virginia with its 12 electoral points are now looking solidly Obama, which I doubted.

++Add the movements in the last few days up and President Obama is looking at 303--some other blogger got to 306. But I'll take 303.

++The two outstanding states which deserve watching are Florida and North Carolina. Nate Silver has Romney winning them with overwhelming odds yet anecdotally from the Early Voting and registrations this ain't necessarily so.

++Tomorrow prepare to be bummed out by the Politico/George Washington Swing State poll, which is supposed to show Romney improving his odds. I don't know. The electoral map is betting smaller by the hour.

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