Sunday, October 28, 2012

You Are Like A Hurricane

++Hunkering down do Hurricane Sandy. Everybody's nerves are on end. You can tell, even Sam Wang tweeted this morning,"Don't give a flying f*&ck what a single poll says. Gallup--especially." 

++Wang has Obama at 299, Romney at 239. the meta-margin at 2.04. Random Drift at 89% and Prediction at 97% certainty.

++Reuters/Ipsos has Obama 49 to Romney 46.
++ABC/Washington Post--48 Obama, 49 Romney.

++Priorities 2012 mirrors Post poll,which showed Obama with a lead. Obama 49 to Romney 46.

++Electoral Vote.com has two toss-ups left--Iowa and Virginia. Virginia looks like it is fading away and Tom Kaine looks like he will be the next Senator.

++Watch for a surprise in North Carolina election evening. Last time Obama won a microscopic victory. But the news from the Obama campaign is almost startling this time. Early Voting, especially by African-Americans and young people dwarf 2008, and new registrations give Democrats a huge lead. I've written this state off to Romney since the beginning. But I am not so sure now.

++Nevada early voting still looks good for Obama. The Repubicans would have to take a 5pt lead in Washpoe County to have a shot. And there is no evidence of it.

++President Obama will return to Washington to monitor the Hurricane on Monday. He will appear at a rally in Youngstown,Ohio and then return home.

++Ann Romney is so helpful. She says her husband will do away with the public school system in America.

++Angus Reid is the new Senator from Maine. The Republicans withdrew so the Harley-driving ex-Governor will be an independent and likely to caucus with the Democrats.

++Watch for Bob Kerrey to make a real run for Senator from Nebraska. What looked like a lark has turned out to be a close campaign.

++Fox News is running Benghazi 24-7 and setting up the issue for impeachment of President Obama. John McCain helpfully pointed out that it is worse than Watergate. Expect Issa to hop on this. But first let's get Obama re-elected.

++If you want a reason to vote for President Obama, listen to his speech in Nashua, New Hampshire yesterday. He hit all the bases. The rally was the biggest in that state's history.

++Mitt Romney actually cut an add where he said that Jeep in Toledo, Ohio would ship jobs to China. This despite Chrysler issuing a statement saying such talk is fantasy. In fact, they are putting an additional 1,000 to work in Michigan.

++So Obama has to manage Hurricane Sandy well and get through the next jobs report.

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